人民币汇率变动对我国贸易收支的影响
人民币汇率变动对我国贸易收支的影响(任务书,毕业论文11000字)
摘 要:随着我国国民经济实力的不断发展,中国的人民币汇率制度不断发展,同时国际上的汇率战争也不断影响我国。外汇储备攀至全球第一,人民币兑美元逐渐加大,人民币在国家舞台崭露头角都揭示着汇率是我国走向国际舞台并在国际舞台越来越有影响力的关键。通过对人民币汇率制度的历史及现状进行分析,探讨人民币汇率变动对我国贸易收支的正面影响及负面效应,针对人民币升值的情况,提出了加快贸易结构调整,促进产业升级,发展和完善我国的金融市场等措施。
关键词:人民币汇率;进出口贸易;人民币升值;
The RMB Exchange Rate Changes on Trade Balance of CHINA
Abstract: China's RMB exchange rate system has developed continually with development of our national economy, and the conflict of exchange rate in the world has also influenced our country at the same time. Foreign exchange reserves climbing to first in the world, Gradual increase in the RMB against the U.S. dollar and RMB coming to the forefront in the national stage all reveal that exchange rate is the key for our country to go to the international stage and be increasingly influential in the international stage. Obtained by analyzing the history and current situation of RMB exchange rate system, exploring the positive impact and the negative effects of the RMB exchange rate changes on China's trade balances, in view of the appreciation of RMB, some policy recommendations are provided, such as speeding up trade restructures, promoting industrial upgrading, developing and improving our financial market and so on.
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Key words: RMB exchange rate; Trade balances; Revaluation of the RMB;
目 录
摘要…………………………………………………………………………………1
关键词………………………………………………………………………………1
一、我国人民币汇率制度的现状………………………………………………………2
(一)人民币汇率制度改革的历程……………………………………………………2
1.向市场经济转轨时期………………………………………………………2
2.社会主义市场经济时期……………………………………………………3
(二)人民币汇率制度改革的现状……………………………………………………3
二、人民币汇率变动的趋势分析……………………………………………4
(一)外部均衡分析一一国际收支………………………………………………………4
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(二)内部均衡分析………………………………………………………………………4
1.GDP的增长………………………………………………………………………4
2.物价水平…………………………………………………………………………5
3.利率…………………………………………………………………………5
三、人民币汇率变动对我国贸易的影响……………………………………………6
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(一)对我国贸易的正面影响……………………………………………………………6
1.有利于调整产业结构和改善我国的进出口贸易条件…………………………6
2.有利于减少我国出口产品遭受的反倾销诉讼…………………………………6
3.有助于抑制通货膨胀……………………………………………………………6
(二)对我国贸易的负面效应……………………………………………………6 [资料来源:www.doc163.com]
1.进口方面对我国当地产业产生冲击……………………………………………6
2.削弱了我国出口产品的国际竞争力……………………………………………7
3.挫伤了外商的投资积极性 ……………………………………………………7
4.对我国出口企业特别是劳动密集型企业造成冲击…………………………7
四、人民币汇率波动趋势下我国贸易发展的对策…………………………………………7
(一)健全进出口贸易服务体系…………………………………………………………7
(二)调整我国进出口商品的贸易结构和促进产业升级………………………………8
(三)开放被保护贸易行业………………………………………………………………8
(四)为企业提供汇率避险工具……………………………………………………8
(五)适度控制、合理利用我国的外汇储备……………………………………………9
五、结束语……………………………………………………………………………………9
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参考文献 …………………………………………………………………………………10
致谢…………………………………………………………………………………………11
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