人民币汇率变动对我国外贸影响研究
人民币汇率变动对我国外贸影响研究(选题审批表,任务书,开题报告,中期检查报告,毕业论文14000字)
摘 要:对外贸易在一国经济中具有非常重要的地位,而汇率作为一个国家宏观调控的主要手段,它的变动对一国对外贸易平衡也产生重要影响。首先本文研究了汇率演变与外贸发展的历史进程,然后运用四种理论分析方法分别论述了汇率变动对我国外贸的发展以及各个理论的的缺陷。再运用实证分析方法,用eviews软件分析了人民币汇率变动与对外贸易之间的相关关系,得出了人民币汇率变动会给进出口贸易带来一定的影响,并且呈现出负相关关系的结论。最后本文根据实证结果提出了该现象下的一些对策建议。
关键词:汇率;对外贸易;分析方法;政策建议
The Study on the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuating on Foreign Trade
Abstract: Foreign trade has a very important position in a country's economy , and the exchange rate as a primary means of national macro-control, it’s change also has an important influence to a country foreign trade balance. First,this article studies the evolution of the exchange rate and the historical process of the foreign trade development. Then use four theoretical analysis method to discusse the exchange rate on China's foreign trade development and the theories of defects. After that use empirical analysis method, eviews software analysis the relationship between the RMB exchange rate and foreign trade, with the result we can concluded that the RMB exchange rate change have an effect on our foreign trade, and presents the conclusion of negative relationship. Finally, according to the empirical results to put forward some countermeasures .
Key words: exchange rate;foreign trade;analysis;policy recommendations;